The unintended consequences of GOP vote suppression

that they didn't want to happen

Here in Minnesota, the anti-Marriage and Vote Restriction amendments were supposed to drive Republican turnout. In the past, this strategy worked. In 2012, it backfired.

But the unintended consequence occurred nationwide as well:

The amendment's surprising defeat has ramifications beyond Minnesota. "There's been an assumption of political will for restricting the right to vote," says McGrath. "No, there's not." The amendment backfired on the GOP. "Voter ID did not drive the conservative base to turn out in the way that Republicans thought it would," adds McGrath. "Instead, it actually inspired progressive voters, who felt under siege, to fight stronger and turn out in higher numbers." The minority vote nearly doubled in the state, compared with 2008. Minnesota was a microcosm of the national failure of the GOP's voter suppression strategy.

After the 2010 election, in more than a dozen states Republicans passed voting restrictions aimed at reducing the turnout of Obama's "coalition of the ascendant"-young voters, African-Americans and Hispanics. The strategy didn't work as intended. Ten major restrictive voting laws were blocked in court over the past year, and turnout among young, black and Latino voters increased as a share of the electorate in 2012 compared with 2008. The youth vote rose from 18 to 19 percent, and the minority vote increased from 26 to 28 percent; both went heavily for Obama.

A backlash against voter suppression added to this increased youth and minority turnout. "When they went after big mama's voting rights, they made all of us mad," said the Rev. Tony Minor, Ohio coordinator of the African American Ministers Leadership Council. The black vote rose in Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia, while the Latino vote grew in Florida, Colorado and Nevada. "There were huge organizing efforts in the black, Hispanic and Asian communities, more than there would've been, as a direct result of the voter suppression efforts," says Matt Barreto, co-founder of Latino Decisions, a Latino polling and research firm.

In late September, Project New America, a Denver center-left research group, tested more than thirty messages on "sporadic, less likely voters who lean Democratic" (which included young, black and Hispanic voters) to see what would motivate them to vote. "One of the most powerful messages across many different demographics was reminding people that their votes were important to counter the extremists who are kicking people off of voter rolls," the group wrote in a post-election memo.

(The Nation)


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