jon runyan

Polls: Much Ado About Margins of Error

Polls - love them or hate them - are here to stay. Polls may be statistically significant ("outside the margin of error") or statistically not significant (within the margin of error). Often people calculate statistical significance as twice the reported margin of error of the poll.
There are other factors to consider: how recent was the poll, how large was the sample size, does the pollster have a reputation for bias, and are there other polls with which to compare it. If there are more than two candidates in the race or a substantial number of undecided respondents the results may be confounding.
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Cory Booker Stumps for Shelley Adler

If Shelley Adler is to win her congressional race, she needs to ensure that her base goes to the polls on Election Day. To that end, the Adler campaign brought in Newark's popular mayor, Cory Booker, to appear at a rally at the Willingboro Senior Center.
About 200 people, mostly seniors, came to hear Adler and Booker.  Adler spoke briefly - she didn't need to promote herself. After all, the audience knew well that her opponent, Jon Runyan, is no friend to senior citizens. And the crowd was there to hear the rock star mayor of Newark. Booker didn't disappoint.
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